Claire, re: The story “Israel (probably) killed Nasrallah in massive air strike”. My quick analysis of some of the implications.
What needs to be understood is that Nasrallah was, in many ways, the articulate face of the Hezbollah. The bulk of its strategy and direction, even some of Nasrallah’s speeches, came from Tehran. While some in the Middle East will celebrate Nasrallah’s demise, (note there still isn’t absolute confirmation, and, of course, there may well never be), Tehran will now find that it has to prolong the war. In the short-run the intensity of attacks against Israel will likely increase, as other proxies are used to try and keep the momentum going.
For the long-run, Tehran will find ways to strengthen and further amplify its anti-Israel, anti-US/West narrative, as a tool of influence and opinion control. The strengthened narrative will be used as a tool to cover for the inadequacies that arise from the decimation of the Hezbollah leadership, (with or without a Nasrallah gone), while the rebuilding proceeds apace. Some ideologically allied states in the region will amplify Tehran’s narrative, and complement it with their own, both globally and across the region.
The strengthened regional narrative will be targeted towards strengthening the anti-Israel (and allies) political and ideological consensus around the region, to end any chances of rapprochement by other states that are now trying to build economic and political bridges with the US and thereby, indirectly, with Israel. Recent US moves like designating the UAE a “major defense partner” aren’t going down well with Tehran, nor are projects like the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor which will end up strengthening trade relationships across the region, though Iran might be a big gainer if it takes a pragmatic economic view.
Globally, the strengthened narrative will be used to build a wider consensus that makes pro-Israel policies/actions difficult for US/Western leaders, using democracy itself to subvert opinion. It’s also important to note that Israel’s perception war isn’t going well. Tehran and its allies have a lead in this perception war, even as of now.
Will Iran get involved even more actively? That's another discussion point, with considerable short-and -long term implications both for Iran, and the wider region.
Claire- thanks for the good news. I posted your article on FB and they removed it as “spam” as trying to get people to click a link. Violating community standards. Doesn’t make sense.
Re cowardly nonsense. If "Ukraine wouldn't have enough missiles to respond to Russia" just why would that be?? Maybe because the US and our European allies didn't provide them?
Re Beijing and its support for Russia and its war on Ukraine. IMO, China is the reason Russia will NOT use nuclear weapons in response to, say, a Ukrainian deep strike into Russia using materiel supplied by the United States. China's leaders remember, or have parents who remember, the Cultural Revolution and they know what real disorder and starvation look like. There is no reason for them to support Russia going nuclear and upsetting the world game board. The Chinese are slowly tightening their grip on the rest of the world, and they have no reason to support the kind of disruption that a Russian nuclear strike would unleash. If I can see this why don't Biden and Sullivan??
The Ukrainians have figured this out and proved it when they moved into Kursk.
It occurs to me that even if this rat bastard managed to dodge the Zionist Entity’s bullet, he’ll never dare to advertise his survival. So if he isn’t dead, he might as well be.
If for a minute we get ahead of ourselves and contemplate an Israeli victory over Hezbollah, what should Israel do in the territory of southern Lebanon? The local population will not have changed much. If occupied, Israel would have another Arab population to control, this one with more experience in arms and organization, as well as outside contacts and prepared tunnels. If not occupied, that same organization or a similar one could reform and rearm that much faster. Pushing the frontier back even a few kilometers would put Haifa out of range of the most common type of rocket in Hezbollah’s arsenal, but nations tend to be touchy about losing territory- Syria is still sore about the Golan Heights.
Regarding tech companies, can we expect legislators to stand up to the companies which have their search histories?
Well if the Spanish postal workers want to go in strike over Israel’s aggression perhaps they could deliver a package I sent to my friend in Barcelona almost two months ago. The same package that has already been sent back as undeliverable because they couldn’t figure out the address in Spain even though it was the one given to my friend by the guy at the front desk of their building 🙄 All that to say no one will notice any difference whether they’re working or not so it’s really a pointless exercise.
Netanyahu is such a bad ass. At the exact moment he's delivering his address to the General Assembly he knows that the hit he ordered on Nasrallah is about to go down. It reminds me of the baptism scene from “The Godfather.” Take a look to see what I mean.
This exactly why Israel is best served with Netanyahu in the Prime Minister’s office. Lapid, Gantz and even Bennett would never have given the command to off the Hezbollah leader. They would have been too afraid that Biden might order Harris to take them over her knee and spank them. For Netanyahu the thought that Nasrallah’s execution might annoy the clueless American President and Vice President must have been the icing on a delicious cake.
There’s a lot to learn by assessing who’s celebrating and who’s mourning Nasrallah’s death (if he is indeed, dead). We know that they’re not happy in Tehran. The Supreme leader must be wondering whether someone is about to drop a house on him like Dorothy did to the Wicked Witch of the East.
But it’s also a good bet that Biden, Harris and their apparatchiks are none too happy. Their dream of having Iran and its terrorist allies serve as a counterweight to Israel in the Middle East is going down the drain.
Shouldn't stop now. As long as the Iranian regime is in place, peace in the region is at best temporary. The leadership there doesn't give up as has been shown countless times. It outrages me - yes, I know I'm nobody but there are more like me - to see the leaderships of the US and some European powers try to negotiate with these people while those suffering from their oppression yearn for relief.
Claire, re: The story “Israel (probably) killed Nasrallah in massive air strike”. My quick analysis of some of the implications.
What needs to be understood is that Nasrallah was, in many ways, the articulate face of the Hezbollah. The bulk of its strategy and direction, even some of Nasrallah’s speeches, came from Tehran. While some in the Middle East will celebrate Nasrallah’s demise, (note there still isn’t absolute confirmation, and, of course, there may well never be), Tehran will now find that it has to prolong the war. In the short-run the intensity of attacks against Israel will likely increase, as other proxies are used to try and keep the momentum going.
For the long-run, Tehran will find ways to strengthen and further amplify its anti-Israel, anti-US/West narrative, as a tool of influence and opinion control. The strengthened narrative will be used as a tool to cover for the inadequacies that arise from the decimation of the Hezbollah leadership, (with or without a Nasrallah gone), while the rebuilding proceeds apace. Some ideologically allied states in the region will amplify Tehran’s narrative, and complement it with their own, both globally and across the region.
The strengthened regional narrative will be targeted towards strengthening the anti-Israel (and allies) political and ideological consensus around the region, to end any chances of rapprochement by other states that are now trying to build economic and political bridges with the US and thereby, indirectly, with Israel. Recent US moves like designating the UAE a “major defense partner” aren’t going down well with Tehran, nor are projects like the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor which will end up strengthening trade relationships across the region, though Iran might be a big gainer if it takes a pragmatic economic view.
Globally, the strengthened narrative will be used to build a wider consensus that makes pro-Israel policies/actions difficult for US/Western leaders, using democracy itself to subvert opinion. It’s also important to note that Israel’s perception war isn’t going well. Tehran and its allies have a lead in this perception war, even as of now.
Will Iran get involved even more actively? That's another discussion point, with considerable short-and -long term implications both for Iran, and the wider region.
Claire- thanks for the good news. I posted your article on FB and they removed it as “spam” as trying to get people to click a link. Violating community standards. Doesn’t make sense.
No idea--try again and tell me what happens?
Re cowardly nonsense. If "Ukraine wouldn't have enough missiles to respond to Russia" just why would that be?? Maybe because the US and our European allies didn't provide them?
Re Beijing and its support for Russia and its war on Ukraine. IMO, China is the reason Russia will NOT use nuclear weapons in response to, say, a Ukrainian deep strike into Russia using materiel supplied by the United States. China's leaders remember, or have parents who remember, the Cultural Revolution and they know what real disorder and starvation look like. There is no reason for them to support Russia going nuclear and upsetting the world game board. The Chinese are slowly tightening their grip on the rest of the world, and they have no reason to support the kind of disruption that a Russian nuclear strike would unleash. If I can see this why don't Biden and Sullivan??
The Ukrainians have figured this out and proved it when they moved into Kursk.
It occurs to me that even if this rat bastard managed to dodge the Zionist Entity’s bullet, he’ll never dare to advertise his survival. So if he isn’t dead, he might as well be.
Regarding this breaking news, the official Un-Woke in Indiana comment is: No great loss.
If for a minute we get ahead of ourselves and contemplate an Israeli victory over Hezbollah, what should Israel do in the territory of southern Lebanon? The local population will not have changed much. If occupied, Israel would have another Arab population to control, this one with more experience in arms and organization, as well as outside contacts and prepared tunnels. If not occupied, that same organization or a similar one could reform and rearm that much faster. Pushing the frontier back even a few kilometers would put Haifa out of range of the most common type of rocket in Hezbollah’s arsenal, but nations tend to be touchy about losing territory- Syria is still sore about the Golan Heights.
Regarding tech companies, can we expect legislators to stand up to the companies which have their search histories?
Well if the Spanish postal workers want to go in strike over Israel’s aggression perhaps they could deliver a package I sent to my friend in Barcelona almost two months ago. The same package that has already been sent back as undeliverable because they couldn’t figure out the address in Spain even though it was the one given to my friend by the guy at the front desk of their building 🙄 All that to say no one will notice any difference whether they’re working or not so it’s really a pointless exercise.
Huzzah!!!
Re: "US president briefed by national security team." - we should check whom they briefed so we can find out who our President is.
Love multiple "Won’t work. —Claire"
I am actually glad about no class on the 30th because I will be en route to NYC to see Douglas Murray!
And what a happy sighting of the "elusive, nocturnal Striped Himalayan Pinball Wizard"
Thanks for a wonderful Global Eyes! (And this was only a half?!?)
Netanyahu is such a bad ass. At the exact moment he's delivering his address to the General Assembly he knows that the hit he ordered on Nasrallah is about to go down. It reminds me of the baptism scene from “The Godfather.” Take a look to see what I mean.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1CDlBLvc3YE
This exactly why Israel is best served with Netanyahu in the Prime Minister’s office. Lapid, Gantz and even Bennett would never have given the command to off the Hezbollah leader. They would have been too afraid that Biden might order Harris to take them over her knee and spank them. For Netanyahu the thought that Nasrallah’s execution might annoy the clueless American President and Vice President must have been the icing on a delicious cake.
There’s a lot to learn by assessing who’s celebrating and who’s mourning Nasrallah’s death (if he is indeed, dead). We know that they’re not happy in Tehran. The Supreme leader must be wondering whether someone is about to drop a house on him like Dorothy did to the Wicked Witch of the East.
But it’s also a good bet that Biden, Harris and their apparatchiks are none too happy. Their dream of having Iran and its terrorist allies serve as a counterweight to Israel in the Middle East is going down the drain.
Excellent shot there chaps!
Hey man, nice shot.
Shouldn't stop now. As long as the Iranian regime is in place, peace in the region is at best temporary. The leadership there doesn't give up as has been shown countless times. It outrages me - yes, I know I'm nobody but there are more like me - to see the leaderships of the US and some European powers try to negotiate with these people while those suffering from their oppression yearn for relief.