๐๐ Global Eyes
๐News and notes from around the world: Everything you need to know to be well-informed.
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๐บ๐ฆ UKRAINE
๐ NB: For detailed daily updates on the war, CG highly recommends Monique Camarraโs EuroFile.
๐ฌ๐ง UK Defense Ministry Intelligence Update:
After more than a month of heavy fighting, Russian forces now control the majority of Severodonetsk. Russiaโs urban warfare tactics, which are reliant on heavy use of artillery, have generated extensive collateral damage throughout the city.
Elements of Ukrainian Armed Forces, along with several hundred civilians, are sheltering in underground bunkers in the Azot Chemical Plant, in the cityโs industrial zone.
Russian forces will likely be fixed in and around Azot while Ukrainian fighters can survive underground. This will likely temporarily prevent Russia from re-tasking these units for missions elsewhere.
It is highly unlikely that Russia anticipated such robust opposition, or such slow, attritional conflict during its original planning for the invasion.
Ukrainian authorities say theyโre evacuating civilians from Severodonetsk during every โquietโ moment after the three main bridges out of the eastern city were destroyed by Russian shelling.
๐บ๐ธ Austin calls for more aid:
Defense Secretary Lloyd J. Austin III on Wednesday urged Western allies to redouble their military aid to Ukraine, warning that it โis facing a pivotal moment on the battlefieldโ in the nearly four-month war with Russia.
โWe canโt afford to let up, and we canโt lose steam,โ Mr. Austin told a meeting in Brussels of nearly 50 countries known as the Ukraine Defense Contact Group. He praised the flow of tanks, missiles and artillery provided to Ukraine so far, but said it was not enough, adding, โThe stakes are too high.โ
๐ช๐บ The European Commission will recommend granting Ukraine official status as an EU candidate country:
Officials familiar with the debate among commissioners said there was keen awareness of the sacrifices made by Ukrainians and clear recognition of the need to send a strong message to Russian President Vladimir Putin that he has lost any chance of reclaiming Ukraine into his supposed sphere of influence. โThe Commission does not forget that Ukraine isย the only country in Europe where people died, where people were shot at because they were on the streets carrying EU flags,โ one senior official said. โNow, we cannot tell them, โsorry guys, you were waving the wrong flags.โโ
๐ข๐พ Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlรผt รavuลoฤlu says the UN has a plan to create a sea corridor from Ukraine for grain exports. He said it would โtake some timeโ to de-mine Ukraineโs ports, but a safe sea corridor could meanwhile be established in areas without mines.
๐ก Institute for the Study of War:
The Belarusian Armed Forces began a command-staff exercise focused on testing command and control capabilities on June 14. However, Belarus remains unlikely to join the war in Ukraine on behalf of Russia.
Russian authorities may be accelerating plans to annex occupied areas of Ukraine and are arranging political and administrative contingencies for control of annexed territories.
The Russian military leadership continues to expand its pool of eligible recruits by manipulating service requirements.
Russian forces are continuing to fight for control of the Azot industrial plant and have destroyed all bridges between Severodonetsk and Lysychansk, likely to isolate the remaining Ukrainian defenders within the city from critical lines of communication.
Russian forces continue to prepare for offensive operations southeast of Izyum and west of Lyman toward Slovyansk.
Russian forces are continuing offensive operations to the east of Bakhmut near the T1302 highway to cut Ukrainian lines of communication to Severodonetsk-Lysychansk.
Russian forces continued offensive operations to push Ukrainian troops away from frontlines northeast of Kharkiv City.
Ukrainian counterattacks have forced Russian troops on the Southern Axis to take up and strengthen defensive positions.
๐ท๐บ RUSSIA
โ Alexei Navalny has disappeared. According to his spokesperson,
[he] was transported away from the penal colony No. 2. His lawyer, who came to see him, was kept at the checkpoint until 14;00, and was then told: โThere is no such convict here.โ We do not know where Alexei is now and what colony they are taking him to. Of course, neither Alexeiโs attorneys nor his relatives were informed about his transfer in advance. There were rumors that he was going to be transferred to the high-security penal colony IK-6 Melekhovo, but it is impossible to know when (and if) he will actually arrive there.
The problem with his transfer to another colony is not only that the high-security colony is much scarier. As long as we donโt know where Alexei is, he remains one-on-one with the system that has already tried to kill him, so our main task now is to locate him as soon as possible. (In Russian.)
Update: His spokesperson says, โThe media, citing the chairman of the PMC of the Vladimir region, Sergei Yazhan, writes that Navalny was transferred to IK-6 Melekhovo. We donโt have any confirmation of this yet. (In Russian.)
โ โManiacs and executioners in the service of the stateโhow people are killed in the colony where Navalny has (reportedly) been transferred.โ The founder of Gulagu.net and human rights activist Vladimir Osechkin described Melekhovo as one of the most terrible places in Russia. He says a hybrid regime has been established in the colony. Both the employees of the Federal Penitentiary Service and prisoner activists brutalize the inmates:
โThe creepiest place there is the sanitary unit. If someone needs to be removed, they are led there. There is a separate semi-basement room without cameras, where you can do anything. They transfer undesirable people with fake diagnoses, allegedly isolated because of health problems, and then begin to bully them. โฆ When I was in the sanitary unit, I was constantly beaten, insulted, threatened against writing complaints anywhere. This is done by both the Federal Penitentiary Service and the โgoatsโ (prisoners cooperating with the administration.โEd.). The cruelest person I met there is Roman Taratin, just a fascist. He personally beat people, there were cases when he raped prisoners with a baton. I even complained to Lyudmila Romanova, Commissioner for Human Rights in the Vladimir region, but nothing has changed.โ (In Russian.)
โฐ๏ธ โYour husband is missing, stop calling.โ How the relatives of the Russian military missing in Ukraine are trying to get them back โalive or dead.โ
Families of missing Russian military continue to wait for news about their relatives. When asked what families would like, Irina finds the answer immediately: โSince they [the Ministry of Defense] sent them there, let them return them. Either dead or alive. No person deserves such that he doesnโt even have a grave anywhere. Itโs some kind of nightmare, itโs like he fell through the ground.โ (In Russian.)
๐ช The Russian budget is about to become even more opaque. Russiaโs Ministry of Finance has announced that it will henceforth limit the publication of budget data to minimize the risk of new sanctions. The ministry will stop publishing information about the way the budget deficit is financed along with information on the execution of expenditures by budget sections. (In Russian.)
๐ง Western sanctions arenโt damaging Russiaโs economy as much as expected, Ukraineโs deputy economy minister said:
โRussia seems to be more resilient to sanctions than we estimated at the beginning. Initially, there was an assumption that impacts [of] sanctions will be more and more visible.โ โฆ
โThere is a necessity to go furtherย and to increase sanctions on Russia,โ Ukraineโs deputy minister said. โWe need to get rid of oil and eventually gas: these are the commodities that are bringing in direct revenues for the Russian budget.โ He added that Ukraine would also welcome widening sectoral bans, for instance adding products like slabs to the steel embargo. Beyond commodities, the West needs to target Russian services again. โFinancial services and transport services, the broader exclusion of Russian financial institutions from SWIFT, insuring vesselsโthat will constrain Russia in a way that is more efficient,โ Kachka said.
๐ฆ๐บโข๏ธ โThe Kremlin is preparing a nuclear strike.โ What they talk about on Russian TV:
The military frenzy on Russian TV is increasing. There they talk more and more seriously about nuclear war, accompanying these threats with stories about the gay war and the commandments of Nazism. If Vladimir Putin really watches federal channels, itโs bad. However, there is hope: Even the most rabid propagandists have sometimes begun to reduce the temperature. โฆ
The rhetoric about the launch of nuclear weapons has not subsided on Russian TV for several weeks. A military frenzy shrouded [the Moscow television and radio tower] Ostankino. Interestingly, the audience is aware of what is happening hypnotized. [sic.] The threat of the end of the world does not seem to cause any reaction among most Russians. And this can still be understood: Protesters against the possible death of themselves and their children may face several days in paddy wagons, dismissal from work and active condemnation. But another thing is more surprising: Margarita Simonyan was allowed to encroach on the sacredโshe openly scolded Maxim Galkin and Alla Pugacheva, calling the comedian gay, and the popularly beloved singer an elderly woman. (In Russian.)
๐ท๐บ๐จ๐ณโฅ๏ธ The Kremlin says Putin and Xi have agreed to boost ties:
โIt was agreed to expand cooperation in energy, finance, industry, transport and other spheres, taking into account the global economic situation that has become more complicated due to the Westโs illegitimate sanctions policy,โ the Kremlin said in a readout of the leadersโ call.
๐ท๐บ๐จ๐ณโฅ๏ธ Xi gives most direct backing to Putin since invasion:
โChina is willing to push for the steady and long-term development of bilateral pragmatic cooperation. China is willing to mutually support Russia on core interests and matters of paramount concern, such as sovereignty and security, as well as [achieve] closer strategic cooperation,โ Xi was quoted as saying by the state broadcaster CCTV.
โ๏ธ๐ฉ The director of the European Union Aviation Safety is worried that Russia is using Western-made planes without access to spare parts and proper maintenance. He says the situation is โvery unsafe.โ
โฐ๏ธโฐ๏ธโฐ๏ธ Russia pulls out all the stops to find fresh troops. Putin badly needs soldiers. He wants to avoid a general mobilization, so the military is relying on other methods:
The Russian army is using all means at its disposal to find reinforcements. They are luring them with attractive offers, issuing threats, and even simulating a general mobilization by sending out huge numbers of summons to reservistsโwhich some, either out of ignorance or fear, interpret as a call up order.
โ ๏ธ Please pay attentionโthe Kremlin does.
Explain the significance of theย 1634 Treaty of Polyanovka. What happened in Narva in 1704? And who signed a peace treaty in Moscow in 1920 and why does that matter now?
These are not questions for a history exam. They are burning national security issues that affect peace and war in Europe. They show that Kremlin imperialist thinking goes far beyond Ukraine. Russia is bent on rebuilding its sphere of influence, based on a semi-mystical historical mandate. Everyone in Russiaโs neighborhood should worry about that. So should their allies.
โญ๐ฉ By the way, Iโm late to this, but did you watch the May 9 Victory Parade? I was so busy trying to figure out whether Putin would declare war on the whole world that I didnโt bother to watch it. But watch the beginning, at least, and donโt forget to turn on the auto-translate:
๐ EUROPE
๐๐ฆ Polling across 10 European countries suggests a deepening divide between voters who want โa swift end to the conflictโ and those who want โRussia punished.โ
Asked what worried them most about the war, respondents in Germany, Italy and France were most concerned about the cost of living and energy prices, while respondents in Sweden, the UK, and Poland were most concerned about the threat of nuclear war.
As the conflict drags on and costs grow, governments will increasingly be forced to โbalance the pursuit of European unity with opinions that diverge both within and among member states,โ the authors write, pointing to a โgrowing gap between the positions of many governments and the public mood in their respective countries.โ
Ukrainians are of course disgusted:
So is anyone else whoโs paying even the least bit of attention, including me:
NATO
NATO is preparing for its big Madrid Summit on June 28-30. Stoltenberg and the leaders of seven NATO allies met yesterday in The Hague to prepare for it:
Stoltenberg: The Summit will be โhistoric and transformative.โ
It will announce โstrong supportโ for Ukraine over the short and longer terms. Allies will agree to โa major strengthening of our postureโ involving โmore robust and combat-ready forward presence, even higher readiness, and more pre-positioned equipment and supplies.โ
More NATO members are planning to spend at least two percent of their GDP on defense. Stoltenberg welcomes this.
NATO will adopt its new Strategic Concept at the Summit. Stoltenberg said this โwill be a blueprint for the Allianceโs future.โ
Leaders in The Hague also discussed Finland and Swedenโs applications to join NATO. โI welcome the serious steps already taken to address Tรผrkiyeโs concerns,โ Stoltenberg saidโand NATO even spelled it like that in its press release, which I guess is meant to show how very seriously NATO takes Turkeyโs concerns. โOur dialogue continues, to find a united way forward,โ Stoltenberg added. I take it that means Tuh-OO-URRRkee-yeah remains recalcitrant.
๐ซ Russian oligarchsโ jets still flying in Europeโs airspace. The EUโs airspace should in theory be closed to Russian aircraft. But rich Russians are managing to circumvent the flight ban.
The data of these flights are publicly available via flight tracking websites. There is credible evidence for the aircraft that they are owned or controlled by Russian businessmen. In mid-March, British authorities withdrew a Cessna jet with the registration G-LATO from circulation in the south of London. The Ministry of Transport in London attributes the Cessna to the Russian oil billionaire Yevgeny Markovich Schwidler. โฆ According to EU officials, โthe application of sanctions against business jets and helicopters registered outside Russia and owned by non-Russian companies is sometimes difficult due to opaque property structures.โ (In German.)
The US will build temporary silos on Polandโs border with Ukraine to facilitate the export of grain:
United Kingdom
๐ฌ๐ง Suspected Russian spy โacting as Putin spookโ held at Gatwick Airport:
The man, aged in his forties, was detained under the Official Secrets Act under the clause relating to spying and sabotage โuseful to an enemy stateโ.
A spokesperson for the Metropolitan Police said: โWe can confirm that officers from the Metโs Counter Terrorism Command arrested a man in his 40s at Gatwick airport on June 13 on suspicion of offenses under section 1 of the Official Secrets Act 1911. He has been taken to a London police station, where he currently remains in police custody. Enquiries continue.โ
๐ฌ๐ง Boris Johnson picks (another) big Brexit fight: The UK will breach international law if his government uses a newly unveiled bill to unilaterally supersede parts of the Northern Ireland protocol that London doesnโt like. The protocol, introducing sanitary and customs checks on goods moving from Great Britain to Northern Ireland, was painstakingly agreed with the EU as a crucial part of the Brexit divorce deal.
๐ฌ๐ง Northern Ireland protocol: What is the โdoctrine of necessity?โ The UK government hopes a little-known legal principle will overturn parts of the post-Brexit agreement
โฆ๏ธ๐ฌ๐ง Bonus: Can you spot the plainclothes police? My guess would be the guy standing alone on the lower right, and perhaps the guy with the blue jacket second-furthest to the right.
๐ณ๐ซ๐ท France
As the #FrenchElectionTwitterSummit predicted, the legislative race has become interesting:
NUPES came out neck-and neck with Macronโs coalition, with Macron now in danger of not having a parliamentary majority:
The gamble paid off. According to the polls, on the evening of the first round of elections to the Assemblรฉe Nationale, the French left has beaten the odds by coming out even with the presidential coalition, even though just a few months ago, it was seen as moribund. This is a personal success for Jean-Luc Mรฉlenchon, the leader of this new left, the Nouvelle Union Populaire Ecologique et Sociale, even if victory, which would make him prime minister, is still far from assured.
Historic breakthrough for Marine Le Pen. She can now hope to chair a group of MPs in the Assemblรฉe Nationale, and her party will probably be the third largest in the legislature.
Eric Zemmour bombed again. He didnโt even qualify for the second round.
NUPES now faces an anti-Mรฉlenchon front:
Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne made no mistake: In her speech just after results were announced, she lumped the NUPES and [far right] RN together. Without naming them, she stressed that, โIn the face of extremes,โ the presidential majority โwill not back down [...] neither on one side nor the other.โ She then spoke on a number of issues, all of which were barbs aimed at the left and the environmentalists.
But her barbs were more particularly aimed at Jean-Luc Mรฉlenchon, often presented [correctlyโClaire] by his opponents as anti-European and an admirer of the Russian President Vladimir Putin and of the former Venezuelan head of state Hugo Chavez.
What kind of left is the NUPES?
โฆ For decades, Mr. Mรฉlenchon was seen as playing second fiddle. Raised politically by one of the fiercest and most sectarian scions of French Trotskyism, the Lambertist branch, he joined the Parti Socialiste just before Franรงois Mitterrandโs presidential election in 1981. Under the command of President Mitterrand, he was very active in obscure internal battles against what was called the Second Left, which was reformist and pragmatic, embodied by Prime Minister Michel Rocard (in office from 1988-1991).
There is only one majority to have emerged from the first round of the legislative elections on Sunday, June 12: those who didn't vote. For the second time in the history of the Fifth Republic, the number of people who abstained is more than half of the electorate.
Thomas Piketty: This division among the parties โrecalls the three great ideological families that have structured political life for more than two centuries: Liberalism, nationalism and socialism.โ
๐ช Hereโs what NUPES is promising:
My translation:
๐ฆ WITH NUPES, THE POWER TO LIVE: Weโll lower taxes, pay researchers more, cap bank charges, cap diesel prices at 1โฌ40, give you free school supplies; raise the monthly unemployment stipend to โฌ1500, freeze prices, give you a grant to insulate your home, give you 1000 kilowatts of free electricity per year, and give you free, organic meals. Weโll also give you 15 cubic meters of water every year, guarantee a minimum price for agricultural products, mandate that no one earn more than twenty times more than anyone else, and give you a monthly stipend of at least โฌ1500 if youโre retired and โฌ1063 if youโre a student. Weโll also guarantee equal pay for men and women; index pensions to wages; give you free menstrual products, end college tuition, pay caregivers more, lower the cost of public transport, cap the price of movie tickets, cap the price of rent, and everyone, we mean everyone, gets a pony with an adorable pink ribbon in its mane and a minimum 1,000 organic carrots for said pony.
Everything except the part about the pony is not a joke.
๐ณ๐ช Macron called on French citizens to give him a clear majority in the parliamentary electionโs final round or risk chaos:
โWe need a solid majority to ensure order outside and inside our borders. Nothing would be worse than adding a French disorder to the world disorder,โ Macron said in Paris just before boarding a plane to Romania to visit French NATO troops stationed there. โWe must defend our institutions against all those who challenge and weaken them,โ he added.
๐ฆ๐น Austria
๐ฆโ๏ธ Another bonus: Would you like to learn how to pronounce Turkeyโs new name? I suspect they wonโt let Sweden and Finland join until the whole world pronounces it correctly. Go here and push the loudspeaker button in the left box.
๐ MIDDLE EAST
๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฑ Biden to visit Saudi Arabia after a stop in Israel:
The trip, set for mid-July, will also include Biden's first stop in Israel as President as well as a visit to the Palestinian West Bank. It will culminate with a major gathering of regional leaders in Jeddah, the Saudi port city, where Biden is expected to engage in some capacity with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman.
๐ช โBetrayal.โ Critics condemn Bidenโs plan to visit Saudi Arabia.
Roi Kais, on Twitter: โSources close to the Saudi royal family say in the news that they hope that Bidenโs visit to the kingdom will lead to closer regional coordination that Israel will also be part of in the face of the Iranian threat. According to the same sources, the United States seems to have understood that the key to stability in the region lies in Saudi Arabia and the visit is a good start in terms of establishing peace in the region and establishing a regional alliance (a Middle East NATO).โ (In Hebrew.)
โThe commitments from the Saudis donโt relate to anything having to do with energy,โ Biden said. โIt has to do with much larger issues than having to do with the energy piece.โ
Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid:
โPeople understand that everyone is looking at Saudi Arabia, and the fact that the president will fly directly signifies that there is a connection between the visit and relations. โฆ Lapid declined to elaborate on the nature of the progress in relations, but said, โWe call it regional architecture. We are trying to encircle Iran in terms of security and policy.โ Lapid added that Saudi Arabia and Indonesia are target countries for promoting relations with Israel, and said that there are three foreign ministers with whom Israel has no diplomatic ties, with whom he is in contact. (In Hebrew.)
๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ฑ๐คขโ ๏ธ Iran believes Israel poisoned its scientists:
โฆ The two scientists grew sicker and sicker, and ended up in the intensive care units of hospitals in two different cities nearly 400 miles apart. Then, they both died within days of each other. Iran believes Israel killed them by poisoning their food, according to an Iranian official and two other people with ties to the government who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the subject. One of them, Ayoub Entezari, was an aeronautical engineer who worked for a military research center, and the other, Kamran Aghamolaei, was a geologist.
๐ณ Efforts to form a new government in Iraq descend into chaos. Muqtada al-Sadr, who controls the largest bloc in Parliament, has directed dozens of lawmakers loyal to him to resign:
The talks on forming a government broke down amid disagreements over who would be president. Under Iraqโs parliamentary system, established after a US-led coalition toppled Saddam Hussein in 2003, the president nominates a prime minister and cabinet ministers who must then be approved by Parliament to take up their posts. The mercurial Muqtada al-Sadr suggested that in abandoning the negotiations, he was sacrificing his blocโs hard-won gains in the elections last year so that a government could be formed. โฆ
His announcement culminated months of political paralysis that underscored the dysfunction of Iraqโs political system and the fragmentation of the multiple Shiite Muslim political blocs. Those inter-Shiite divisions have supplanted sectarian tensions between Sunni and Shiite groups in past years as a main source of Iraqi instability.
๐ AFRICA
๐ฆ Excellent news, for a change: Africaโs locust situation looks to be under control:
The locust situation is currently very quiet. We have declared the upsurge is over in the entire region for two main reasons: first, we had a massive and aggressive locust campaign in close cooperation with the governments. Second, the region is facing a severe drought situation, which means that conditions are no longer favourable for the Desert Locust to breed. It does not mean that there are no Desert Locusts in the region; the Food and Agriculture Organization is still monitoring their presence. We are back to what we call the recession of Desert Locust, which means they are still present but they are under control and do not pose any threat to the regionโnot at all in Kenya neither in Somalia nor in Ethiopia. โฆ
How were the locusts brought under control?
โฆ What FAO did was to create a minimum capacity for governments to conduct surveys and control operations. We have trained 3,800 people in the entire region on how to use innovative applications such as eLocust3 to recognize and report on Desert Locust. We helped the Government to establish a national locust information office to manage the data for daily field operations. We also purchased vehicles and motorbikes for the governments to be more mobile. We procured pesticides, provided people with safety protection kits including masks, gloves, overclothes and glasses. And, finally, we hired a number of aircrafts and helicopters to increase capacity on surveillance and control.ย
๐ง๐ซ๐ Soldiers in Burkina Faso have recovered 79 bodies so far after an attack in the northern Seno province, the latest in a series of high-casualty attacks in rural areas:
At least 100 people were killed, and possibly as many as 165, in the attack โฆ It was the deadliest attack in at least a year in the West African country, which is battling an insurgency by groups linked to al Qaeda and Islamic State. There was no immediate claim of responsibility.
๐๐๐ฆ Ten Maasai leaders were detained and more than 30 wounded during violent clashes with police in northern Tanzania. They were protesting against eviction from their land to make way for a luxury game reserve:
A rights activist working with the Maasai, who wished to remain anonymous, said: โThousands of Maasai from Loliondo are crossing the border, seeking refuge, especially women and kids. Theyโve been sleeping in the forest. The victims canโt go to hospital in Tanzaniaโtheyโll be arrested. Kenyan doctors, paramedics and nurses are taking care of those who crossed safely.โ
Previous attempts to evict Maasai from the region have been thwarted after local and international pressure. But fears of a renewed attempt were raised in February when Tanzaniaโs tourism minister, Damas Ndumbaro, said the Maasai did not have a claim to their homeland. In April, community leaders sent letters to the UK and US governments and the EU, appealing for help.
๐พ Millions at risk in South Sudan as Ukraine war forces triage:
The UNโs emergency food assistance agency said it had planned to deliver aid to more than six million acutely food-insecure people in South Sudan this year, as it did in 2021, albeit with smaller rations. But, in a major cut likened by a spokesperson to a form of humanitarian triage, the WFP said it would now have to prioritize 4.5 million of the most vulnerable people in order to stop them dying of starvation during the lean season, between April and July. โฆ
We had to decide who to keep assisting and who we can afford to suspend the assistance fromโnot because theyโre not in need but because they can survive,โ said Marwa Awad, WFP spokesperson in South Sudanโs capital, Juba.She is now very worried about the 1.7 million people cut off from support.โThey are food insecure. And if aid is not given to support them, they will slide further down the scale of hunger and reach starvation level. If people are not nourished and are not reached regularly, they will get worse and worse and join the ranks of their brethren who are already looking death in the eye.โ
๐ฌ๐ญ The secret to getting what you need in Ghana:
A friend recently told me a story about his attempt to get his first dose of Covid19 vaccine in Accra, the capital of Ghana. When he arrived at the distribution center, he was instructed to join a line outside. An attendant gave each person a number to ensure there were enough doses for everyone. Then a familiar scene appeared: A trickle of cars was ushered into the compound, one by one. Soon afterward, the attendant informed my friend that the facility had run out of shots.
In Ghana, the inside connection that likely allowed the people in the cars to skip the vaccine line is called protocol, or โprotoโ for short. Paradoxically, protocol often means expedited access that circumvents blished procedure. People in Ghana do not follow protocol; they have it, through kinship or a social connection. One might use protocol to quickly access a public service, while applying for a job, or to get into a good school. Its prevalence reflects how equal rights and access are becoming a mirage in Ghana, fueling disillusionment with the government and the countryโs supposed meritocracy.
๐ฌ๐ง๐ท๐ผโ๏ธโ๏ธ Rwanda asylum flight cancelled:
Boris Johnsonโs plan to send an inaugural flight of asylum seekers to Rwanda has been abandoned after a dramatic 11th-hour ruling by the European Court of Human Rights. โฆ a ruling by the ECHR on one of the seven cases allowed lawyers for the other six to make successful last-minute applications. The decision is a significant and embarrassing blow for Boris Johnson and his home secretary, Priti Patel.
๐ฌ๐ง๐จ๐ฉ๐ท๐ผ The next problem with the UKโs Rwanda asylum plan:
Lawyers arenโt the only obstacle to Boris Johnsonโs plan to send asylum seekers to Rwanda. The UK prime minister will soon also have to grapple with the fallout of a dramatically escalating regional conflict that Rwanda is accused of stoking in the east of neighboring Democratic Republic of the Congo.
๐จ๐ฉ๐ท๐ผ DRC says Rwanda has captured a border town:
The Democratic Republic of Congo has accused Rwanda of an โinvasionโ after rebels it says receive support from Kigali overran a major trading post on the Ugandan border. Fighters from the M23 rebel group seized the town of Bunagana in eastern North Kivu province as some government forces retreated into Uganda, local sources said. The M23 were โsupported by soldiers and artillery from the Rwandan army,โ the DRC army said in a statement on Monday evening, adding that two soldiers and several enemy combatants were killed. โฆ
A humanitarian source on the ground said heavy clashes had broken out again on Sunday morning and the only way out for the embattled DRC troops was to cross into Uganda. โOne hundred and thirty-seven Congolese soldiers and 37 police have surrendered and are seeking protectionโ to Ugandanย security forces officer Hajj Sadiq Sekandi said from Kampala. Thousands of people have fled into Uganda and the DRC territory of Rutshuru since a second bout of violence flared in March. The humanitarian situation was โmore and more concerning,โ said Herve Nsabimana, coordinator of a human rights NGO.
๐ ASIA
China
๐จ๐ณ๐น๐ผ Xi Jinping signed a new rule governing โnon-warโ military operations. Details are unclear, but of course people are worried it might be the legal regime heโs planning to use to invade Taiwan:
Xi signed an order which takes effectย June 15, state media reported, without printing the order in full. โIt mainly systematically regulates basic principles, organization and command, types of operations, operational support, and political work, and their implementation by the troops,โ state news agency Xinhua said in a in brief report onย Monday. โ[It] provides a legal basis for non-war military operation,โ it said. Among the six-chapter documentโs stated aims are โmaintaining national sovereignty ... regional stability and regulating the organization and implementation of non-war military operations,โ it said.
China then publicly insisted it had sovereign rights over the Strait.
๐ฅข โAs China has openly denied the fallacy that the Taiwan Straits are โinternational waters,โ it is entirely possible for the PLA to take more determined actions against the US warships and aircraftโs harmful moves in the Taiwan Straits. I believe this will become a trend,โ added Hu Xijin, the Global Timesโ arch supervillain.
๐ฆ๐ซ๐พ๐ต The World Bank made an unprecedented US$150 million contribution to the Food and Agriculture Organization for the new Afghanistan Emergency Food Security Project, which will try to prevent further deterioration in food security by providing seeds, tools, irrigation, and training to small Afghan farmers. Theyโll focus first on wheat production. They say 150,000 women will be trained in improved cultivation techniques.
๐ฐ๐ฌ๐น๐ฏ๐คผโโ๏ธ Fighting breaks out on Kyrgyzstan-Tajikistan border:
Kyrgyz and Tajik border guards exchanged mortar and grenade launcher fire in the poorly delineated border region between Tajikistanโs Vorukh exclave and Kyrgyzstanโs Batken Region around 06:00 June 14. The exchange lasted for about an hour and a half, with emergency talks producing a ceasefire at 07:30. One Tajik soldier was reportedly killed in the incident. โฆ
Approximately half of the 970 kilometer border shared by Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan has not yet been officially demarcated. Hence, clashes across the disputed border have frequently erupted since the two nations became independent with the 1991 collapse of the Soviet Union. While most such incidents are small in scale and locally contained, a four-day border conflict between Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan during the spring of 2021 left at least fifty people dead and over 40,000 civilians displaced.
๐ฎ๐ณ๐ดโโ ๏ธ Al Qaeda and ISIS have threatened suicide bombings in Indian cities to avenge the insult to the Prophet:
The Islamic State Khurasan Province, operating in the Indian subcontinent, has begun a news bulletin service. According to independent news handle Khorasan Diary on Twitter, the first news bulletin by the organization is focused on India and the issue of blasphemy.ย Earlier, the Islamic State in Khorusan Province released a fifty page document on the same issue with pictures of Prime Minister Narendra Modi petting a cow. It called for attacks on India and against Indian interests.
๐ฒ๐ฒ Myanmar
Fighting increases in Burmaโs Kachin and Northern Shan states.
Approximately ten junta soldiers were reportedly killed and their weapons seized in Hpruso Township, Kayah State.
Military, armed groups continuing to engage in armed clashes in Chin State. Tight security measures are in place.
Myanmarโs economy has contracted so sharply since the coup, and the country is in such a state of chaos, that the World Bank canโt issue growth forecasts beyond fiscal 2021.
The master of the Myanmar Juntaโs โSkyful of Lies.โ
Min Aung Hlaing, who is responsible for the military coup in February last year, is viewed locally and internationally as a thick general. As notorious as Min Aung Hlaing is Major General Zaw Min Tun, the leader of his information teamโofficially known as the Tatmadaw True News Information Teamโwho has earned the title of the regimeโs biggest liar, for so tirelessly parroting its claims. โฆ
Myanmarโs resistance continues to gain momentum. Itโs time for ASEAN to recalibrate its approach to the countryโs conflict:
It has been just over 15 months since Myanmarโs military junta launched a coup and attempted to grab power from a democratically elected parliament that was waiting to be sworn in. This is not an โinternal conflictโ as some within ASEAN would like to believe. It is this: a battle between those who believe in freedom, democracy, rule-of-law, and human rights, against one of the most odious regimes in the world. โฆ
The vicious, scorched-earth campaign that the junta, now calling itself the State Administration Council, is waging in a vain attempt to subjugate the people knows no bounds. Its senior leadership, led by Min Aung Hlaing, is directly responsible for orders and actions, beginning in 2016, that murdered thousands of Rohingya and forced more than 700,000 others into Bangladesh โฆ The flood of refugees across borders, the unchecked spread of Covid19, money spent on alleviating the militaryโs humanitarian catastrophe, the flood of drugs from Myanmar, and the tremendous political capital that must be spent on, once again, dealing with the militaryโs brutal hand is an anchor around ASEANโs neck.
Losing a Generation: How the military junta is attacking Myanmarโs children:
The militaryโs 1 February 2021 coup has meant disaster for Myanmarโs children. Military attacks on civilian populations have displaced more than 250,000 children, who join the roughly 130,000 children in protracted displacement and the more than half million child refugees from Myanmar in neighboring countries. The junta has arbitrarily detained over 1,400 children with at least 61 children currently being held hostage by the junta. ย Junta forces have tortured at least 142 children since the coup was launched. They have beaten, cut and stabbed children, burned them with cigarettes, forced them to hold stress positions, subjected them to mock executions, and deprived them of food and water. 33,000 children could die preventable deaths in 2022 alone, merely because they have not received routine immunizations. 1.3 million children and more than 700,000 pregnant or breastfeeding women require nutritional support. 7.8 million children remain out of school. The relentless attacks on children underscore the depths of the military juntaโs depravity and its willingness to inflict immense misery and hardship on innocent victims to try and subjugate the people of Myanmar. The suffering of children is further reason why the international community must rethink and reset its response to the worsening crisis in Myanmar.
๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ชข Junta rebuffs Cambodian call to halt executions. If the hangings are carried out, they will be the first executions to take place in Myanmar since 1976:
In a demonstration of its determination to execute two democracy activists on death row, Myanmarโs military regime has turned down their allyโs request to refrain from carrying out the death sentences.
On Friday, Cambodiaโs Prime Minister Hun Sen sent a letter to junta chief Senior General Min Aung Hlaing urging him โto reconsiderโ and โrefrainโ from executing ousted National League for Democracy lawmaker Ko Phyo Zeya Thaw and veteran democracy activist Ko Jimmy. Hun Sen said the proposed executions were attracting โgreat concern among the members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nationsโ and its external partners. However, the juntaโs Ministry of Foreign Affairs replied to Cambodia on Saturday with legal explanations on why the death sentences have to be carried out, as well as detailing the alleged crimes committed by Ko Phyo Zeya Thaw and Ko Jimmy.
Myanmarโs armed resistance rejects junta call for surrender:
In a statement published in both Burmese and English by Myanmarโs state-run newspapers on Monday, the juntaโs Information Team announced that all members of the armed resistanceโincluding the pro-democracy Peopleโs Defense Force paramilitary group it has labeled a terrorist organizationโwill be allowed to return to civilian life if they willingly lay down their arms. โฆ โIf we had thought surrender was a possibility at the beginning, we would never have started the revolution,โ said a spokesman for PDF in Kayah stateโs Demawso township, speaking on condition of anonymity โWe will never surrender.โ
๐ฒ๐ฒ๐บ๐ณ UN risks funding Myanmar juntaโs crimes against humanity:
Burma civil society organizations concerned at UN aid funds being weaponized by the military-appointed State Administration Council issued a statement calling for an end to the ASEAN Coordinating Center for Humanitarian Assistance and the United Nations Office for Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs decision to conduct humanitarian assessments in collaboration with the Military Council. The alliance joint statement pointed out that ASEAN and UN aid programs, implemented without relevant consultation with local organizations, would instead be used by the Military Council to continue its crimes against humanityโtorching towns, artillery and aerial strikes on villages and killing civilians. โฆ โIt is as if the organizations assisting aid in the region have been ignored. The military junta is the root of the problems that are currently causing harm to the people of Burma. That is why the Military Council cannot be a partner in providing this assistance.โ
๐ฒ๐ฒโ โNothing called freedom.โ Myanmar authorities have detained over 135,000 Rohingya and Kaman Muslims arbitrarily and indefinitely in Rakhine State for a decade. Authorities have capitalized on the ethnic cleansing campaign launched in June 2012 to segregate and confine a population they had long sought to remove from daily life:
Concerned governments should recognize the atrocities against the Rohingya and the post-coup military junta as intersecting crises that require a cohesive international response. The Rohingyaโs freedom depends on the military being excised from the vast control it wields in every layer of Myanmar life. The UN Security Council should end its inaction borne of anticipated vetoes by China and Russia and urgently pass a resolution that institutes a global arms embargo on Myanmar, refers the militaryโs grave crimes to the International Criminal Court, and imposes targeted sanctions on the junta and military-owned conglomerates. If China and Russia continue to oppose council action on Myanmar, other governments should bring concerted global pressure against them for upholding the juntaโs widespread abuses.
๐ฏ๐ต๐ด Money for nothing at the end of the world. The Japanese yen is at its weakest point in two decades. Hereโs the back story:
Long before the world wars, even long before Americaโs Admiral Perry forced Japan open to the world, the Japanese had a unique view of debt. In Japan capital exists not to serve economic needs, but instead to serve political needs. To that end, debt was allowed, even encouraged . . . so long as it didnโt become inconvenient to the sovereign. Dating back to the seventh century, if widespread debt got in the way of the emperor or shogunโs goals, it was simply dissolved under the debt forgiveness doctrine of tokusei. Drought? Tokusei! Floods? Tokusei! Famine? Tokusei! Government in the red? Tokusei . . . with a 10 percent processing fee!
๐ฐ๐ญโ Theary Seng, a Cambodian-American lawyer and a human rights activist, was sentenced to six years in prison in Cambodiaโs sweeping crackdown on opponents of prime minister Hun Sen.
๐ AMERICAS
๐ณ๐ฎ Nicaragua
๐ท๐บ The government of Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega has authorized Russian troops, planes and ships to deploy to Nicaragua for purposes of training, law enforcement or emergency response:
In a decree published this week, and confirmed by Russia on Thursday, Ortega will allow Russian troops to carry out law enforcement duties, โhumanitarian aid, rescue and search missions in emergencies or natural disasters.โ The Nicaraguan government also authorized the presence of small contingents of Russian troops for โexchange of experiences and training.โ
๐บโ๏ธ Dozens of groups in Nicaragua that support vulnerable women have been labelled โforeign agentsโ and outlawed by the government, meaning they can no longer operate:
โItโs a delusion of absolute control,โ says Marรญa Teresa Blandรณn, a sociologist and prominent feminist who coordinates one of the affected groups, La Corriente. The authorities โknow there is critical thinking, a defense for human rights and a democratic vocation in feminist organizations.โ โฆ
Last month, the Nicaraguan National Assemblyโwhich is controlled by the ruling party, the Sandinista National Liberation Frontโ terminated the legal status of 50 civil society organizations, including La Corriente and six other feminist groups. President Daniel Ortegaโs regime has outlawed 267 NGOs since 2018, including 40 womenโs groups.
US slaps visa restrictions on 93 Nicaraguan officials:
The United States has imposed visa restrictions on dozens of Nicaraguan officials, accusing them of having โundermined democracyโ in the aftermath of President Daniel Ortegaโs successful re-election last year.
โThe United States remains deeply concerned about the Ortega-Murillo regimeโs unjust detentions of political prisoners and ongoing abuses against members of civil society,โ Blinken said in a statement. He said judges and prosecutors aligned with Ortega and his wife, Vice President Rosario Murillo, โshare complicityโ with the government because they have participated in prosecutions and convictions of opposition leaders and human rights defenders, among others.
๐ชง Sandinistas march in support of Ortega:
This government โis the best thing that could have happened to Nicaraguaโ, said Faldeni Castro, who with her daughter in her arms said she was โhappyโ to be a member of the ruling Sandinista National Liberation Front. Dressed in T-shirts, caps and red and black flags alluding to the FSLN, the mostly young Sandinistas walked through the drizzling rain through the streets of several neighborhoods in southeastern Managua.
The march culminated at a place known as Colina 110, where in June 1979, 35 young people were murdered by the Somoza dictatorship, which ruled for almost half a century until the triumph of the Sandinista Revolution on July 19, 1979. โIt is a source of pride that the revolution is among us. My father has told me many beautiful and tragic storiesโ about that era, said Erick Parrales, 16, who belongs to a Sandinista family.
๐ฒ๐ฝ Mexico
A hundred hooded men with high-powered weapons and bulletproof vests occupied a market and streets in the northern part of the city of San Cristรณbal de Las Casas, the main tourist center of Chiapas, a day after the Ministry of National Defense announced that five hundred uniformed personnel would be deployed to the region. (In Spanish.)
More: Hooded civilians with long guns, some with bulletproof vests, were captured on camera by residents as they roamed around the northern area of San Cristรณbal de las Casas, one of the most touristic places in Chiapas, without any authority preventing them. (In Spanish.)
People took shelter inside a self-service store because they feared being hit by a stray bullet, since several gun detonations were heard in the vicinity. It wasnโt until almost 4:30 p.m. that the Army, the National Guard, as well as the State and Municipal Police showed up. (In Spanish.)
President Andrรฉs Manuel Lรณpez Obrador meanwhile justified his daily haranguing of journalists at his morning press conferences by saying he only criticizes the โspokespeopleโ of economic power and political power:
The Mexican president say that โthere is a lot of propagandaโ against his government, but that it has a political motivation. He said that his conservative opponents abroad are upset with his government and the last thing they care about is the lives of journalists. Lรณpez Obrador took the opportunity to say that the European Parliament wants to use the murders of journalists against him โfor political reasonsโ and maintained that he has โmoral authority and political authority because we do not establish relations of complicity with anyone.โ (In Spanish.)
๐ธ๐ป El Salvadorโs gangs are becoming guerrilla groups, says president.
El Salvadorโs President Nayib Bukele, who has declared โwarโ on gangs, warned Saturday that these groups are trying to โevolveโ into guerrilla groups by setting up more and more clandestine camps in rural areas.
โThe captures of gang members are increasingly taking place in clandestine camps in rural areas. It is clear that the gangs are trying to evolve into guerrilla groups,โ the president said on his Twitter account. In the โlast few weeks,โ authorities have dismantled โmore than 100 clandestine campsโ of gang members in different rural areas of the country, Bukele said.
Jeanine Aรฑez, the former president of Bolivia, was sentenced to ten years in prison on charges of illegally taking over the presidency after the resignation of her predecessor, Evo Morales:
Ms. Aรฑez stepped forward, promising to be only a caretaker interim president and to hold new elections in which she would not run. But almost immediately, she started to reshape Boliviaโs foreign policy. A conservative Christian, she introduced religious symbols into secular state procedures and started a campaign against the leftist supporters of Mr. Morales, who during his 14 years in office had stressed the importance of Indigenous culture.
Her government then charged Mr. Morales with sedition and terrorism, though international human rights groups said evidence to substantiate those charges was lacking and called the case against him politically motivated. Ms. Aรฑezโs defense team has insisted that in 2019 she had to step in to fill a power vacuum, but Mr. Moralesโs supporters called the ouster a โcoup.โ
Repercussions in Latin America and the Caribbean of the war in Ukraine:
The effects of [the] crisis on Latin America and the Caribbean must be analyzed considering almost two decades of external shocks thatโdespite different directions and intensities in each countryโhave worsened investment and production conditions in the region, against a backdrop of lingering and generally growing uncertainty. Major external shocks include the 2008โ2009 global financial crisis, economic tensions between the United States and Europe, on one hand, and China, on the other, from 2017 onward, the coronavirus disease pandemic from 2020 onward, and now the war in Ukraine. These shocks have triggered feedback loops of changes, have weakened globalization as an engine of growth and have led to geopolitical motivations taking precedence over efficiency.
Key points:
After 6.3 percent growth in the regional economy in 2021, the region is now forecast to see an average annual growth of 1.8 percent this year.
South American economies are expected to grow by 1.5 percent; Central American economies and Mexico by 2.3 percent; Caribbean economies by 10.1 percent (but only 4.7 percent if you exclude Guyana).
The fastest-growing countries in South America will be Venezuela, at 5.0 percent, Colombia at 4.8 percent, and Uruguay at 3.9 percent. In Central America, theyโll be Panama at 6.3 percent, the Dominican Republic at 5.3 percent, and Guatemala at 4.2 percent. In the English- and Dutch-speaking Caribbean economies, theyโll be Guyana (49 percent), Saint Lucia (10.5 percent) and the Bahamas (8.5 percent).
The slow recovery in employment affects women in particular, since more of them left the labor market during the pandemic. Food price increases are particularly damaging for women, and most damaging, of course, to single mothers.
The regional poverty rate is forecast to be around 33 percent. The extreme poverty rate will be 14.5 percent. These levels are appreciably higher than those seen before the pandemic. A 1.1 percentage point increase in extreme poverty means an additional 7.8 million people added to the 86.4 million whose food security is already at risk.
Food price growth accelerated and outpaced headline inflation in all reporting countries, with the exception of Ecuador. Year-on-year food inflation reached double digits in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, Paraguay, and Uruguayโall countries with no recent history of chronic inflation.
Food price growth will continue to outpace headline inflation in most countries, harming not only those in extreme poverty, but also middle- and lower-middle-income households.
Even before the pandemic, the prevalence of undernourishment in the region was increasing (from a low of 5.4 percent in 2014 to 7.1 percent in 2019).ย The pandemic accelerated the deterioration: in 2020, the prevalence reached 9.1 percent, a level not seen in the region since 2005. In 2020, around 14 million more people in the region were hungry than in 2019. Caribbean countries are particularly vulnerable: 16.1 percent of their inhabitants suffered from malnutrition in 2020.
The high price of agricultural products will create pressure to expand land for crops and grazing. This will harm forests and scrubland.
Around 78 percent of the regionโs fertilizers are imported. In 2020, 88 percent of its nitrate- and phosphate-based fertilizers came from Russia, as did 74 percent of its ammonium nitrates.
Fertilizer supply in 2021 was affected not only by rises in commodity prices, but also by physical disruption. For example, restrictions were placed on exports to ensure sufficient supply for the domestic markets in China, the Russian Federation, Egypt, and Tรผrkiye (OMG, theyโre spelling it like that too!โClaire); weather-related physical disruptions have hampered nitrogen and phosphate production in the United States, and sanctions on Belarus have affected potash supplies.
The war in Ukraine is a ticking time bomb for Latin America.
Why are Americans so hard on Biden, whoโs done a pretty good job under exceptionally difficult circumstances? Tom Nichols thinks itโs because Americans still arenโt taking it in:
My suspicion is that the full weight of our foreign and domestic crises has not broken through the self-absorption and solipsism of not only our political parties but the American public. We are just not capable of understanding that at home, we are inches away from the meltdown of our constitutional system of government, and abroad, we are one errant cruise missile away from a nuclear crisis.
If youโre an American who lives in the US right now, Iโd be curious to know if you agreeโnot with those two points, which are inarguable, but with the observation that Americans 1) arenโt behaving as if this is so; and this is because 2) they arenโt capable of taking it in. I donโt have a good feeling for what other Americans are thinking and saying, day to day. Do the people around you seem to get this?โClaire.
๐ GLOBAL
๐บ๐ธ๐ท๐บโข๏ธ๐ฃ What will Biden do if Putin goes nuclear?
A half dozen current and former government officials briefed on the issue, and several outside experts, told NBC News there was no playbook and little agreement about how the US would respond to a norm-shattering act of destruction that could obliterate a Ukrainian city, kill tens of thousands and send a cloud of nuclear fallout drifting over NATO countries in Western Europe. โฆ
If Russia used a nuclear weapon of any type, โI expect (the president) to say weโre in a new situation, and the US will directly enter the war against Russia to stop this government that has not only broken so many international laws and violated human rights but also now violated the nuclear taboo,โ said Evelyn Farkas, a former top Pentagon official for Russia and now executive director of the McCain Institute. โPutin will be signing the order on changing the regime.โ But two US officials briefed on the issue did not agree, with one saying, โUnless they use them on NATO weโre probably not going to respond militarily.โ
โข๏ธ๐ฃโข๏ธ๐ฃโข๏ธ๐ฃ SIPRI Institute: โIf the nuclear-armed states take no immediate and concrete action on disarmament, then the global inventory of nuclear warheads could soon begin to increase for the first time since the Cold War โฆ All of the nuclear-armed states are increasing or upgrading their arsenals and most are sharpening nuclear rhetoric and the role nuclear weapons play in their military strategies. This is a very worrying trend.โ
๐ The Authoritarian Playbook: A media guide. How reporters can cover and distinguish threats from politics-as-usual.1
๐โ The end of globalization:
The implications of long Covid: About thirty percent of people infected with Covid19 will develop long Covid. This has significant economic implications.
โ๐ผ๐ BY THE COSMOPOLITAN GLOBALISTS
June could be Ukraineโs decisive month, by Olga Tokariuk:
Itโs mid-June, and a crucial battle for Donbas rages in Eastern Ukraine, with Russia seeking to grab as much Ukrainian territory as possible, as Putinโs recent remarks have made obvious. The nearly four month long conflict is no longer said to be about NATO enlargement, elusive Nazis, secret biological laboratories, or any other ludicrous pretext: Russiaโs dictator has very clearly laid out his imperial ambitions, comparing himself with Peter the Great, and laying claim to all lands that once belonged to Russiaโin Ukraine and far beyond.
Despite the rousing rhetoric, Russiaโs successes on the battlefield in Ukraine have so far been modest. Having failed to capture any major city, with the exception of Kherson, and after razing Mariupol to the ground, Russia concentrated on seizing control of the entire Donetsk and Luhansk regions. In recent weeks, the war in Ukraine has been transformed into a battle of attrition, fought mostly with artillery. A victor may emerge in the coming weeks. Western ammunition can help to turn the tide in Ukraineโs favorโbut it would need to arrive quickly and in much larger quantities (some reports suggest the Russian artillery preponderance is 20:1.)
๐ง Toomas Hendrik Ilves and David Kramer talk to Power Vertical about whether the West can hold together.
๐ฆ THE DAILY BAT
๐ฅข THE DAILY SCOLDING
China to complete worldโs first railway loop around a desert in Xinjiang:
Together with three existing railways that trim the desert, the operation of the Hotan-Ruoqiang railway will make the world's first railway loop around a desert a reality. The new line will further boost railway connections in the western border areas and facilitate the flow of people and goods, and the development of regions along their routes, with the effect of boosting ethnic unity, bolstering national defense and promoting rural revitalization, the company said.
Talk about making a desert and calling it peaceโClaire.
๐โ๏ธ TODAYโS SPIRITUAL GUIDANCE
BAGHDAD (Dispatches) โฆ โOn this auspicious day, the plot of the big powers with their extortionate spending and their various support for terrorist groups to occupy, disintegrate and commit genocide against the children of Iraq failed,โ Kaโabi said.
โTheir efforts failed and God returned their plot to them. The righteous sons of Iraq stood up and rolled up their sleeves and obeyed the fatwa and the call for dignity; they sacrificed their pure blood and souls for the nationโs faith and soil, and displayed the most beautiful images of bravery and manhood.โ
๐ฆ TODAYโS ANIMAL: THE FENNEC FOX
Are these guys cute or what?
1) Americans arenโt behaving as if Biden is doing pretty good job under exceptionally difficult circumstances
Most people in my location (Texas) are concerned that in the middle of a shooting war, the Biden administration (State Department, Pentagon) seem to be much more concerned with preparations for PRIDE month, then the consequences of our foreign policy. Most weeks over the last several months have featured the President making an unscripted comment that is then walked back by staff. The general appearance is of an administration that is continually surprised by events, not sure what to do, and constantly trying to "wing it" as a response. It is like the inflation issue that we were told was not going to happen in 2021, then told it was not "real inflation", then told it was "temporary inflation" and now we have articles in the New York Times that "actually inflation is good for Americans because it forces us to change our lifestyles." If it appeared that the Administration understood what was going on, and that they had a plan for dealing with the issues, then most Americans would back the administration (ala Bush in 2002-2003). The perception here is that the administration views foreign policy as a distraction from the real job of enacting domestic policy changes. Not sure what folks are seeing on the news, as I tuned out the network and cable news long ago in favor of on-the ground reporting like the Cosmopolitan Globalist.
2) Americans arenโt capable of taking it in?
As has been true through most of our history, most Americans are focused on what is happening in their own community, occasionally in their state or country, as those are the things that affect their lives the most. I have found this to be the case in most areas of the world that I have traveled to. I appreciate the ex-pat community, and the fact that the reporting in the Cosmopolitan Globalist is better than anything available through traditional media, but reject that just because people do not have your particular set of views on the world they should be ridiculed. I get it that you know better than the rest of us, I just don't think you will actually inspire anyone to change their minds or support an alternate policy with a dismissive attitude like this.
1) Americans arenโt behaving as if Biden is doing pretty good job under exceptionally difficult circumstances
I think the middle ground of American politics always going sway the most in the face of economic change. Part of the problem is that the facts involved are difficult to understand, the other is that it is very easy confuse these facts with a counter narrative. All it takes is a few enthusiastic but uninformed relatives or colleagues proclaiming that the economy was failing under Obama for most people to believe it. Unfortunately, for every minute of misinformation dumped into a conversation, it takes at least 5 to try and shovel it out. I'm not sure how many times I've had to explain the difference between deficit and debt. And I'm not sure how often the idea takes root.
Right now all people will see on the surface news is that prices are rising, probably with a fluff piece about a struggling single mother. You're going to have to look far and wide to find more than tepid support for Biden in the face of that, which was the best even Nichols was willing to provide. And tepid is nothing in the face of burning, quasi-religious Trumpism.
2) Americans arenโt capable of taking it in?
Blaming the president for things outside of his control is what passes for analysis in the US. I cringed every time someone put All COVID-19 Deaths at the feet of Trump, as the man could have only nudged that dial. Similarly, there are impossibly dense pundits who will put all blame for the economic woes of the country on Biden, rather than looking at the mess handed to him or that developed overseas.
Trump could have been coherent in his messaging about COVID-19. Biden could have signed a stimulus package that wouldn't have pushed so hard on inflation. Neither of these opinions will sell papers the way finger pointing will.
I think the "solipsism of... our political parties" is the greatest culprit here. What I hear from my fellow citizens is usually quite partisan, on both ends of the spectrum. But I suspect they're a noisy minority. I think most Americans have the capability of understanding the depth of a story, but parties make it unnecessarily difficult to grasp through their framing.
Personally, I wish The Atlantic had gone with a different title for that article. One of the major narratives pushed by right wing is that the main stream media doesn't criticize anyone on the left. They might as well have handed them another log for the bonfire of their frenzy.
So much for brevity...