War in Europe
Transnistrian authorities have announced they will stop all men of fighting age from leaving the region. Moldovaโs government has announced their country is facing โa very dangerous new momentโ and โa dangerous deterioration of the situation.โ
An interview with a Ukrainian soldier in Dnipro, by David Patrikarakos:
โWhat has shocked me is the callousness of Russia soldiers to their own men.โ He shows me a photo taken from a drone of soldiers eating lunch in a ruined house near several bodies lying in the dirt. โTheyโre eating 20 meters from the decomposing bodies of their comrades.
โThey just drop the bodies of their friends into trenches. Sometimes they donโt even bother to cover them. We found a grave of fifteen bodies a while back. Theyโd thrown bit of dirt on them but that it was it. They don't even respect to the lives of their own comrades. Incredible.โ โฆ
โTheir tactics are insane. Chernobaivka has a small military airport. Seventeen times theyโve tried to take it. Seventeen times weโve smashed them. Still, they come. Our soldiers ask, โAre they dumb?โ No, just incapable of independent thought. They just follow ordersโno matter how crazy.
โChechen soldiers? Ha. We call them TikTok soldiers. Theyโre always filming.ย We found one who was wounded and trying not to fight but take a selfie. Their job is not to fightย but to shoot Russian boy conscripts who donโt want to fight.โ
โI want to say one thing: Elon Muskโs Starlink is what changed the war in Ukraineโs favor. Russia went out of its way to blow up all our comms. Now they canโt. Starlink works under Katyusha fire, under artillery fire. It even works in Mariupol.โ
โฆ If one of the signal failures of the Russian campaign in Ukraine is Russiaโs failure to control Ukrainian airspace, then to it we may have to add Russiaโs failure to control Russian airspace. This in turn raises some possibilities, if in fact Ukraine is mastering deep-strike capabilities within Russia. We can guess what most of the targets will be. Theyโll be infrastructure and storage sites: fuel tanks, ammunition warehouses, bridges, highways, railway junctions, communications towers, and so on. That will probably constitute 90 percent+ of the targets, as befits a capability that is, for Ukraineโs level of sophistication and armament, necessarily strategic and operational.ย โฆ
There is, though, a possibility for an entirely different sort of target โฆ Imagine, if you will, a Russian-regime show of strength, with the dictator himself and all his lieutenants present on an outdoor dais, overlooking a vast parade of soldiers and hardware, well attended by foreign dignitaries, and televised live to the entire country. Imagine, too, a swarm of small drones descending upon it, carrying small explosives, most heading for the massed formation โ and some heading for the dais. Imagine it, and consider two things.
The MQ-9 Reaper can fly a roundtrip from Kyiv to Moscow.
The Victory Day parade in Red Square is slated for May 9th.ย
Let the reader understand.ย
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